With such a title, Tuesday, September 18 has been posted on Equilibri.net analysis signed on the current situation in the Taiwan Strait, more specifically, the article focuses on a particular Referendum.
Chen Shui-bian, President of the Island, a member of the Democratic Progressive Party and strong supporter of independence, wants to rally the people of Taiwan, and the means through referendum, to legitimize the application for entry the United Nations with the name of Taiwan.
Every year since 1993, officially asks to enter the island at the UN and systematically (as happened a few days ago) every year, this request is denied. On the basis of UN Resolution 2758 of 1971, as the island is Chinese territory and considered, although de facto independent it may seem, it is not de jure , as demonstrated the fact that, internationally, only a dozen countries recognize Taipei instead of Beijing.
So what is the news? Simple. For the first time, Taiwan tries to present itself with the official name of Taiwan, in fact, rather than with the ambiguous "Republic of China" , which can assume a symbolic and legal supremacy of the island on the mainland, heritage the historic conflict between the Kuomintang of Chiang Kai-shek and Communist Party of Mao Zedong .
All this confirms the absolute will to Taipei to be considered "foreign body" in Beijing and creating all'inedita possibility of the existence of two Chinas.
And the problems? Less simple. The proposal for a referendum to legitimize the entry of Taiwan to the United Nations (which is to be held concurrently with the presidential elections of March 2008) can cause problems relations between Beijing and Washington , forcing the two powers to confront a subject kept at bay (albeit with difficulty) for nearly sixty years.
How will they react and then the "big" in front of such a step (probably the prelude to a declaration of de jure independence )? The anti-secession law that ' National People's Congress of China has launched 14 March 2005 states that in the event of secession or declaration of independence, it will result in military action in Beijing on Taipei. At the same time, an American law of almost thirty years ago ( Taiwan Relations Act) provides some "friendship" and mutual protection between the U.S. and Taiwan, although there are references to the official recognition of Taipei.
That said, remember that for different reasons, China and the U.S. do not seem willing (and not even ready) to a frontal collision to decide on this skein Taiwan. If, on the Beijing come continuous and obvious references to Chinese sovereignty on the island, from Washington come admonitions and warnings to the initiative of Chen and some of its allies, considered to be too impulsive.
It is certain that the change of the status quo (in un senso o nell'altro) non piace a nessuno dei due colossi: l'indipendenza è malvista alla Zhongnanhai , mentre l'annessione disturberebbe la Casa Bianca .
Strano a dirsi, questa volta il destino è nelle mani di un "piccolo". Cosa succederebbe se Taipei dovesse muoversi verso un'eventuale dichiarazione di indipendenza?
Chen Shui-bian, President of the Island, a member of the Democratic Progressive Party and strong supporter of independence, wants to rally the people of Taiwan, and the means through referendum, to legitimize the application for entry the United Nations with the name of Taiwan.
Every year since 1993, officially asks to enter the island at the UN and systematically (as happened a few days ago) every year, this request is denied. On the basis of UN Resolution 2758 of 1971, as the island is Chinese territory and considered, although de facto independent it may seem, it is not de jure , as demonstrated the fact that, internationally, only a dozen countries recognize Taipei instead of Beijing.
So what is the news? Simple. For the first time, Taiwan tries to present itself with the official name of Taiwan, in fact, rather than with the ambiguous "Republic of China" , which can assume a symbolic and legal supremacy of the island on the mainland, heritage the historic conflict between the Kuomintang of Chiang Kai-shek and Communist Party of Mao Zedong .
All this confirms the absolute will to Taipei to be considered "foreign body" in Beijing and creating all'inedita possibility of the existence of two Chinas.
And the problems? Less simple. The proposal for a referendum to legitimize the entry of Taiwan to the United Nations (which is to be held concurrently with the presidential elections of March 2008) can cause problems relations between Beijing and Washington , forcing the two powers to confront a subject kept at bay (albeit with difficulty) for nearly sixty years.
How will they react and then the "big" in front of such a step (probably the prelude to a declaration of de jure independence )? The anti-secession law that ' National People's Congress of China has launched 14 March 2005 states that in the event of secession or declaration of independence, it will result in military action in Beijing on Taipei. At the same time, an American law of almost thirty years ago ( Taiwan Relations Act) provides some "friendship" and mutual protection between the U.S. and Taiwan, although there are references to the official recognition of Taipei.
That said, remember that for different reasons, China and the U.S. do not seem willing (and not even ready) to a frontal collision to decide on this skein Taiwan. If, on the Beijing come continuous and obvious references to Chinese sovereignty on the island, from Washington come admonitions and warnings to the initiative of Chen and some of its allies, considered to be too impulsive.
It is certain that the change of the status quo (in un senso o nell'altro) non piace a nessuno dei due colossi: l'indipendenza è malvista alla Zhongnanhai , mentre l'annessione disturberebbe la Casa Bianca .
Strano a dirsi, questa volta il destino è nelle mani di un "piccolo". Cosa succederebbe se Taipei dovesse muoversi verso un'eventuale dichiarazione di indipendenza?
